This New York Times piece is a comprehensive and accurate description of the situation in Kenya as the country prepares for the March 4 elections. A lot is at stake, not just for Kenya but for the region. Despite the disaster of the last election five years ago, Kenya has made significant progress in government. Their new constitution has spread power regionally, they have a reasonably free press, and people expect to vote and for their votes to count. The courts also seem to have improved.
Yet many very negative forces remain. If they take over the election by force or fraud, a sense of hopelessness (at least) will grow. If democracy prevails, it will be a significant step upward and a positive regional example.
I’m cautiously hopeful.